Rewarding-Aluminum
0xb86e70d98c4fba8f269b80b967e29d48c8ed258d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
159
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-10.84
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 159- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
1114 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
816 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-108.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
533 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-32.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
448 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-47.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
308 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-72.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
252 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
196 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-28.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
140 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-28.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
120 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
107 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-23.60
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.55Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.58Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.29Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.84Jun 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.48Jun 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.18Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$15.71Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.87Jun 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.80Jun 21, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.62Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$31.53Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.10Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.85Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.61Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$42.04May 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$31.35May 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.43May 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.43May 15, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.62Apr 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$12.00Apr 18, 09:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $0.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 09:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.