Slimy-Receipt
0xb86ed0ed452bace4ed432980ae6426e3b8071810
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$429.99
Total PnL
$-52.67
Realised
$16.73
Win rate
100%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 11?
30 shares @ 16.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$27.25
$22.51
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 11?
26 shares @ 93.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$26.26
$1.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 11?
25 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$24.99
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on July 10?
25 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$24.99
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 10?
25 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$24.99
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 11?
25 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$24.95
$0.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 12?
25 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$24.88
$0.13
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 12?
25 shares @ 98.6¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$24.35
$-0.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 12?
24 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$23.87
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?
23 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$22.60
$6.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 12?$1.13Jul 11, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 12?$24.76Jul 11, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 12?$4.77Jul 11, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 12?$24.77Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 12?$1.17Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 12?$3.70Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 12?$23.79Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?$4.62Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 12?$6.03Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 11?$8.41Jul 10, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 11?$24.76Jul 10, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 11?$1.42Jul 10, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 11?$0.68Jul 10, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 10?$3.59Jul 10, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?$0.52Jul 10, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?$7.86Jul 10, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?$1.10Jul 10, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 11?$24.76Jul 10, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?$0.91Jul 10, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?$1.13Jul 10, 04:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 04:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 00:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.