Elderly-Ebook
0xb873d157994aa67f52a2643bb64612a0955c3b11
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$24.86
Total PnL
$-485.40
Realised
$66.54
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.45
$-1.55
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
256 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
217 shares @ 4.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.59
$-6.41
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
350 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.28
$-7.72
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
154 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.08
$-0.92
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
3260 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of January?
300 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.78
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
250 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.39May 15, 23:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.16May 10, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04May 10, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.38May 2, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$14.87Apr 25, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.00Apr 21, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$13.83Apr 5, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$18.13Apr 5, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.00Apr 5, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$10.00Apr 2, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$10.00Apr 2, 01:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $7.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.