Slow-Robot
0xb87a46107f5568e145be57ecb4b75233fc9465a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$2.69
Total PnL
$-627.75
Realised
$-2.73
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$2.69
$0.73
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
272 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
204 shares @ 69.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-142.17
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
150 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
142 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
120 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-30.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
80 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-49.31
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
70 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?
67 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?
64 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-13.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$43.52Jul 1, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$2.00Apr 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Suns$5.10Apr 15, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$3.78Apr 4, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.00Apr 4, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.00Apr 4, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$19.00Mar 4, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$25.00Feb 6, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?$2.73Feb 5, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?$4.87Feb 4, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?$2.49Feb 4, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?$2.02Feb 4, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$11.00Feb 4, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?$0.76Feb 4, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?$1.13Feb 4, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$3.64Feb 2, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$19.98Feb 2, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$26.50Feb 2, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?$2.18Feb 2, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?$0.30Feb 2, 09:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 05:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 01:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.