Glaring-Mound-Shot
0xb88a591b2b5235021c1e037b6a32964c6bc4bd21
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-146.97
Realised
$75.55
Win rate
96%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
1074 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-17.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
234 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
225 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
200 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
136 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
114 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
105 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$2.10Jul 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.61Jul 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$4.20Jul 18, 09:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.41Jul 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$2.07Jul 17, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$5.21Jul 17, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.04Jul 17, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.07Jul 17, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.04Jul 17, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.91Jul 17, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.05Jul 17, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$6.00Jul 17, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$5.26Jul 17, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.39Jul 17, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.04Jul 17, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$6.96Jul 17, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$5.29Jul 17, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.06Jul 17, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$10.86Jul 17, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$10.43Jul 17, 08:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.