Watchful-Niece
0xb88ff7044b8d24803894dffb0f6a7ff8af540d8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$64.91
Total PnL
$3.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.56May 23, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.22May 22, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$11.09May 21, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?$50.00May 21, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Pistons$0.00May 21, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$0.00May 21, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 21, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Pistons$19.59May 21, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$25.02May 21, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$50.10May 21, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Pistons$15.38Apr 22, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$25.00Apr 22, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$50.00Apr 22, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMCanucks vs. Golden Knights$0.00Apr 22, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Lightning$0.00Apr 22, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$13.44Apr 22, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$25.02Apr 22, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMMaple Leafs vs. Ducks$31.92Apr 22, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$25.00Mar 30, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$25.00Mar 30, 21:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $24.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 01:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.