Frail-Shanty
0xb89cba98cada4f0806ffa23cb1acfec6fabe58d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$4.81
Total PnL
$-316.38
Realised
$75.54
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.65
$-2.35
- NO
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
36 shares @ 25.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.16
$-6.84
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
467 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-119.00
- T1
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner
450 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-55.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2PM ET
400 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-69.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
178 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-11.50
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
164 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $50M one day after launch?$0.02Apr 12, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $50M one day after launch?$2.98Apr 12, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $20M one day after launch?$0.64Apr 12, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $20M one day after launch?$0.36Apr 12, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $80M one day after launch?$6.50Apr 12, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLGenius FDV above $100M one day after launch?$28.00Apr 8, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $100M one day after launch?$23.00Apr 6, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?$3.94Mar 19, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?$10.00Mar 19, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?$10.00Mar 19, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.52Mar 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.48Mar 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$2.34Mar 16, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$4.00Mar 13, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$5.00Mar 12, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?$5.00Mar 12, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.00Mar 12, 13:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 10:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 08:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".