Critical-Footstool
0xb8a471fe84cac06db492967d9b0c457bcc6f216b
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$4.00
Total PnL
$-5.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.27
$0.77
- YES
More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.72
$0.72
- YES
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Atlas global browser market share 3%+ on December 31?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Atlas introduce ads by December 31?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.00Oct 28, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$1.00Oct 28, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Oct 28, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?$1.00Oct 28, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$1.50Oct 28, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMore EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?$1.00Oct 28, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Oct 28, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlas introduce ads by December 31?$1.00Oct 28, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlas global browser market share 3%+ on December 31?$1.00Oct 28, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".