Hard-Surge
0xb8a6e113bba61b8ad51f77193cb96443937b9993
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.01
Total PnL
$-0.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 21?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 19?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
15 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 19?$1.00Nov 18, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?$402.78Nov 18, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?$403.19Nov 18, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 21?$1.00Sep 21, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$96.52Sep 21, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$96.62Sep 21, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$96.62Sep 21, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$96.73Sep 21, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$1.01Aug 7, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on June 30?$1.04Aug 7, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released on August 7?$1.00Aug 7, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$100.28Aug 7, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$100.38Aug 7, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$100.38Aug 7, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$100.48Aug 7, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$1.00Jul 11, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun launch a token by September 30? $100.62Jul 11, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun launch a token by September 30? $100.72Jul 11, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun launch a token by September 30? $100.72Jul 11, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun launch a token by September 30? $100.82Jul 11, 07:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $76.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 16:26 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 09:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".