Thoughtful-Frog
0xb8a90cf4206fdeba1f23ffb94d3275d246020979
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-301.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 27, 4AM ET
154 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.92
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 18?
150 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?
146 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?
145 shares @ 98.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-142.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 17?
142 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 22?
135 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.43
- YES
Will Solana dip to $85 on March 22?
126 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 17?
123 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 26?
122 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 22?
116 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?$108.63Jun 3, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?$106.89Jun 2, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?$3.14May 31, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?$102.24May 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?$100.09May 24, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 22?$2.91May 21, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 17?$112.17May 17, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 18?$1.60May 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 17?$109.59May 16, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 11?$1.58May 10, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$25.86May 10, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on March 28?$0.00Apr 30, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$31.74Apr 26, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 19?$2.21Apr 19, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$124.05Apr 19, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.10Apr 14, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$23.69Apr 14, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$122.31Apr 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 12?$1.11Apr 11, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 31?$139.98Apr 11, 17:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $40.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 12:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.