Secret-Thesis
0xb8aab571811df46156de84161ca356153a8c9235
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.76
Total PnL
$-19.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?
24 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.76
$0.36
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
14 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?$0.67May 19, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?$1.74May 19, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMPlayboi Carti's "MUSIC" debuts at #1 on Billboard 200?$5.14May 19, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$5.00Mar 20, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYPlayboi Carti's "MUSIC" debuts at #1 on Billboard 200?$5.00Mar 20, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$5.00Mar 20, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$5.00Mar 20, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$5.00Mar 20, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMScholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?$0.00Mar 20, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?$11.71Mar 20, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?$11.00Nov 8, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYScholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?$5.00Nov 8, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gretchen Whitmer be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.00Nov 8, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$30.43Nov 8, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$1.67Oct 5, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.33Oct 5, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$40.00Sep 13, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$15.00Sep 13, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMSwell airdrop by June 30?$8.62Sep 13, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMzkSync airdrop by June 30?$23.81Sep 13, 11:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $8.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 19:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".