Accurate-Lamb
0xb8b12b0e8eecae4dbe87564d9e0327d9fa920a31
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$77.39
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
1510 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Khamenei seen in public by March 2?
762 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-19.05
- YES
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?
573 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-21.13
- YES
Khamenei seen in public by March 3?
500 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-19.60
- LATVIA
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latvia
330 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-137.91
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 7, 2026?
300 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
285 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-52.13
- PASSION UA
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1
238 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-67.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 6AM ET
237 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$14.83Mar 25, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$4.98Mar 25, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$4.98Mar 25, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$19.97Mar 25, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane$44.77Mar 25, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane$28.32Mar 24, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11AM ET$15.74Mar 24, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11AM ET$12.59Mar 24, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11AM ET$20.09Mar 24, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$5.81Mar 24, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3AM ET$1.00Mar 8, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?$1.03Mar 8, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$2.13Mar 7, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?$0.78Mar 7, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?$1.30Mar 7, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Celtics (-14.5)$22.00Mar 6, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$10.00Mar 6, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026?$5.48Mar 6, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$11.50Mar 6, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$8.14Mar 6, 13:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 12:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.