Hilarious-Gander
0xb8b3c5c0c24967d18b7ad86b22e019892a819402
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$14.81
Total PnL
$-99.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$6.25
$1.25
- NO
US bank failure before December?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$6.25
$1.25
- NO
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next French Prime Minister?
2 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$2.31
$0.63
- YES
Will someone else be inaugurated?
215 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-6.67
- YES
Tether Insolvent in 2024?
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024?
98 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
70 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu be the next French Prime Minister?$1.69Dec 6, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Bayrou be the next French Prime Minister?$3.00Dec 6, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$3.00Nov 21, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win 30% of Black men?$0.00Nov 18, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win Latino men?$0.00Nov 18, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMTrump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?$0.00Nov 18, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWhich party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 18, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win white women?$0.00Nov 18, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win men?$0.00Nov 18, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.00Nov 18, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?$7.69Nov 18, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMTrump wins every swing state?$0.00Nov 10, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMKamala flips a 2020 Trump state?$0.00Nov 9, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$6.67Nov 6, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 6, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMAssociated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6?$6.67Nov 6, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMTrump grope video released before the election?$0.00Nov 5, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon do a podcast with Hawk Tuah Girl before election?$0.00Nov 5, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMTrump in jail before election day?$0.00Nov 5, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMKamala photographed with a gun before the election?$0.00Nov 5, 10:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $5.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 20:43 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 6, 14:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".