0xb8b4234a9fe408a0f938d193853857876ee26d1a
0xb8b4234a9fe408a0f938d193853857876ee26d1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$12.10
Total PnL
$-155.04
Realised
$-0.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on March 25?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$12.10
$0.01
- YES
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
1700 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.65
- NO
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
1674 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.75
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
1667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
952 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.81
- YES
Will Japan’s February 2026 unemployment rate be ≥3.0%?
145 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.65
- CLIPPERS
Spread: Clippers (-17.5)
124 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-57.84
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 27?
43 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- HORNETS
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)
32 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.68
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 27?
14 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 30?$0.00Mar 31, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$0.24Mar 31, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?$7.33Mar 31, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$22.08Mar 31, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$22.99Mar 31, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$31.07Mar 31, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$22.92Mar 31, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$31.62Mar 31, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBill Clinton divorce by June 30?$38.84Mar 31, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$7.90Mar 31, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$7.78Mar 31, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$7.78Mar 31, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$7.78Mar 31, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$7.78Mar 31, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?$7.41Mar 31, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton divorce by June 30?$7.84Mar 31, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$7.52Mar 31, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$7.68Mar 31, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$7.90Mar 31, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$7.68Mar 31, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $14.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 22:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.