Elaborate-Cashier
0xb8b44e3cc9e0962982e3c8bf444b6a7411f51f6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$132.8K
Total PnL
$-52.8K
Realised
$467.72
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
26812 shares @ 68.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.3K
$7.1K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
31903 shares @ 89.9¢·now 70.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$22.5K
$-6.2K
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
30709 shares @ 71.1¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.4K
$577.91
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
32627 shares @ 40.9¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.2K
$839.47
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
20564 shares @ 31.1¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$7.1K
$705.23
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
6958 shares @ 82.2¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.3K
$541.36
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
17198 shares @ 58.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.9K
$-4.0K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
33322 shares @ 24.9¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$-3.5K
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
7075 shares @ 51.8¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$968.06
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
11836 shares @ 49.6¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.0K
$-1.9K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$58.80Jun 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.37Jun 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$43.26Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$19.04Jun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$11.28Jun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$171.95Jun 13, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$565.20Jun 13, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$340.00Jun 13, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$68.00Jun 13, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$5.10Jun 13, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$242.77Jun 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$5.10Jun 13, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$51.00Jun 13, 11:22 UTC
- REWARD$5.63Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$246.42Jun 12, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$14.32Jun 12, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$690.00Jun 12, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$62.42Jun 12, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$207.00Jun 12, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$0.55Jun 12, 20:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $115.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.