Optimistic-Carbon
0xb8bd846698cc67b5ee032bfa4bfe39d07533879e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-56.08
Realised
$-1.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
186 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
115 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.75
- YES
Will J.D. Vance say "America" or "American" 20+ times during the March for Life?
62 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-14.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SAMFORD BULLDOGS
Samford Bulldogs vs. Wofford Terriers
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
25 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fed chair announcement?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$0.00May 18, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$6.21May 18, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$5.28May 18, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$6.55May 18, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$5.19May 18, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$6.97May 18, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$5.27May 18, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$8.70May 18, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$6.18May 18, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$6.31May 18, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$3.11May 18, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3.15May 18, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$4.83May 7, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$4.58May 7, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$5.02May 7, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$3.96May 7, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.32May 7, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.30May 7, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$8.61May 7, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.29May 7, 16:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 10:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 22:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".