Ironclad-Human
0xb8c100fc6565e45a50af376ec569f744cc0d116b
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$151.85
Total PnL
$-28.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
50 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$50.00
$21.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
40 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$40.00
$12.80
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
40 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$40.00
$14.00
- NO
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.00
$8.20
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.85
$-23.15
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
100 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-41.40
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
40 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-19.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$13.00Mar 14, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$13.00Mar 14, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$19.60Mar 11, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$27.20Mar 11, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$11.80Mar 7, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$26.40Mar 4, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$26.67Mar 3, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$2.24Mar 3, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$0.09Mar 2, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.30Mar 2, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$22.20Mar 1, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$151.36Feb 28, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$8.40Feb 27, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$25.00Feb 2, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jan 31, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$41.40Jan 31, 19:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $30.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 14:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.