First-Icy
0xb8d54ecca886e5257e5fbd6c54cb84d4c97aa9f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$7.23
Total PnL
$-0.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on April 23?
6 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$6.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$1.20May 29, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on April 23?$6.00Apr 23, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$994.54Mar 29, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$995.56Mar 29, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$485.46Mar 29, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$517.87Mar 29, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KMar 29, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$463.99Mar 29, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$546.17Mar 29, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KMar 29, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?$772.67Mar 29, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?$238.28Mar 29, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.0KMar 29, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?$598.20Mar 29, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?$414.75Mar 29, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.0KMar 29, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.00Mar 29, 09:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $592.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 09:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 05:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.