Thankful-Bondsman
0xb8e0cbb152f25734e6f37291544d3bfd7f6657ef
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$109.70
Total PnL
$-11.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
109 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$109.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?
1289 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.64
$-1.93
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?
2155 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.31
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
1700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $160 on October 21?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$109.012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?$2.762d ago
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 6?$111.222d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 6?$111.006d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$4.626d ago
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.136d ago
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.236d ago
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.306d ago
- REDEEMWill Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.356d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$111.116d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$111.0113d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?$111.1013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?$111.0017d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 21?$111.1017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 21?$111.0021d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 15?$1.1021d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$110.1021d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 15?$1.1027d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$110.0027d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 12?$110.1027d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $61.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 64d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
