Sympathetic-Ecliptic
0xb8e3d389a189ec66a613cdbea07e4738aa04545d
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
190
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-6.34
Win rate
27%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 190- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
793 shares @ 93.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-741.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
475 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
96 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-19.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
88 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
87 shares @ 94.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-82.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
82 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-80.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
76 shares @ 95.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-72.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
71 shares @ 67.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-47.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
71 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-69.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
40 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$46.95Jul 4, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$25.79Jul 4, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$19.84Jul 4, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$20.20Jul 4, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$19.83Jul 4, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$369.63Jul 4, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$101.12Jul 4, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$77.33Jul 4, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$58.53Jul 4, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$44.64Jul 4, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$33.73Jul 4, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$25.79Jul 4, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$19.84Jul 4, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$85.47Jul 4, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$34.70Jul 4, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$27.22Jul 4, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$20.09Jul 4, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$20.00Jul 4, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$19.81Jul 4, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$81.45Jul 4, 13:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
27% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $29.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 04:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 20:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.