Old-Scarecrow
0xb8e5ca2cb900c1093965056e3138ec70539e67a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-160.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?
640 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.76
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 11?
221 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 8-14?
101 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 11?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 8-14?
57 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 8-14?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
42 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-22.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
40 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-22.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Feb 28, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$84.25Feb 28, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$84.25Feb 28, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$30.33Feb 28, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$114.44Dec 19, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$104.24Dec 19, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$19.42Dec 19, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$103.91Dec 19, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$462.85Dec 14, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 all time high by December 31?$16.29Dec 14, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$6.73Dec 14, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$50.92Dec 14, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$6.63Dec 14, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$7.78Dec 14, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$10.00Dec 14, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$10.71Dec 14, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$15.80Dec 14, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 all time high by December 31?$13.72Dec 13, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$10.00Dec 13, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$10.00Dec 13, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $41.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 03:46 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 23:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".