Thoughtful-Geek
0xb8edce2b2302fd70c2f1be3cfff133429d1c89a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.80
Total PnL
$-278.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
249 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$8.80
$-1.19
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
1101 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6AM ET
1056 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11PM ET
810 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
791 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12AM ET
736 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
675 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8AM ET
661 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$1.03May 30, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$0.75May 30, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?$14.13May 30, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$1.03May 30, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$1.03May 30, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$5.14May 30, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$2.05May 30, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$10.22May 30, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$1.03May 30, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?$2.05May 30, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?$1.03May 30, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?$1.03May 30, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?$1.03May 30, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?$1.03May 30, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?$1.03May 30, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?$1.03May 30, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?$1.03May 30, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?$1.03May 30, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?$1.03May 30, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?$1.03May 30, 13:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 18:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".