Imaginary-Sled-Ruling
0xb8ef8e9ec51cedf9814a0cae7a497cc3d8482897
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$98.11
Total PnL
$-16.80
Realised
$-0.94
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
98 shares @ 50.0¢·now 79.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$77.75
$28.70
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
98 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.36
$-28.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 21?
788 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.25
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 20?
456 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 19?
346 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 21?
297 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 21?
117 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on June 20?
58 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
2 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 20?
1 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Aug 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $0.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 13:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.