Elderly-Quail
0xb8f9dda2c71d32434412e22e8c545a770cb1b18f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$11.67
Total PnL
$-0.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.67
$1.67
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
83 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?$10.36May 27, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?$1.05Nov 9, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 22?$6.06Oct 22, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 22?$2.00Oct 21, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLNYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?$6.40Apr 7, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLNYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?$9.00Apr 7, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?$10.00Apr 6, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.77Nov 6, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 5, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.50Sep 24, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.50Sep 24, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $5.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 24, 20:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 16:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".