Admired-Burglar
0xb90330df25caad3772a41538fc0079ca828bd3c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-103.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 4?
3630 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or higher on January 16?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 18?
68 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 17?
52 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on January 17?
28 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C or below on January 17?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 49°F or below on January 17?
21 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on January 17?
20 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 16?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 18?
18 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-12.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 44-45°F on January 17?$1.01Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on January 16?$1.03Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 17?$1.04Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on January 17?$1.09Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 19?$1.27Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on January 17?$1.34Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C on January 18?$1.39Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on January 18?$1.51Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on January 18?$1.74Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 36-37°F on January 18?$1.94Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 46-47°F on January 17?$1.96Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 18?$2.33Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on January 18?$2.55Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 40°F or higher on January 18?$2.70Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 59°F or below on January 16?$2.75Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on January 18?$2.81Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or higher on January 17?$2.93Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 19?$3.05Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or higher on January 16?$3.16Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on January 18?$3.23Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 10:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.