Tall-Crewmember
0xb90a9b0c48cf577478a413119a035ce73692b2fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.5K
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
92%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on November 25?
3257 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-280.34
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
2353 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 24, 8PM ET
1722 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-297.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
1565 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-386.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
1565 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 24?
1403 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-51.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
1298 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
1222 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
1063 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
1044 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYManchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score$339.79Dec 26, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$339.79Dec 26, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$253.04Dec 26, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$162.61Dec 24, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2AM ET$100.00Dec 24, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2AM ET$262.61Dec 24, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2AM ET$124.92Dec 24, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$8.63Dec 24, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$20.00Dec 24, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$40.00Dec 24, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$176.29Dec 24, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$135.98Dec 24, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$20.00Dec 24, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$9.66Dec 24, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?$165.65Dec 24, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?$174.60Dec 24, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?$260.05Dec 22, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$40.00Dec 22, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Nuggets$61.00Dec 22, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?$40.00Dec 22, 22:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $120.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 14:54 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 19:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.