Third-Expectancy
0xb90d8de1213d302cbae9a39b09778aed94e45617
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
588 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-182.28
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Spurs
385 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
345 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- T1
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner
294 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- T1
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
286 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
278 shares @ 71.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- GEN.G
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner
256 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
227 shares @ 88.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DPLUS KIA
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DPLUS KIA
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner
192 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$41.62Jun 17, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Jun 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$38.83Jun 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$30.48Jun 17, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$51.14Jun 17, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-06-17?$87.38Jun 17, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-17?$70.88Jun 17, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$203.94Jun 17, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$191.08Jun 17, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$205.88Jun 17, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$412.20Jun 17, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$207.28Jun 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$341.13Jun 17, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$205.88Jun 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$297.23Jun 17, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$204.68Jun 17, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$21.66Jun 17, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$8.90Jun 17, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$201.66Jun 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$38.19Jun 17, 19:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $182.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 01:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 20:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.