Naive-Closet
0xb92a972b5a8132d4ce840c54daca1db5890f6ce8
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$36.54
Total PnL
$-312.29
Realised
$-0.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 4?
35 shares @ 9.1¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$12.60
$9.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 4?
35 shares @ 9.1¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$11.55
$8.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 4?
35 shares @ 9.1¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$5.07
$1.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 4?
35 shares @ 9.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$4.38
$1.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 4?
40 shares @ 9.1¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$1.14
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 4?
40 shares @ 9.1¢·now 2.2¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.88
$-2.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 4?
35 shares @ 9.1¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.42
$-2.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 4?
35 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.21
$-2.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or higher on June 4?
35 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.10
$-3.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 4?
35 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.10
$-3.08
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 4?$5.00Jun 2, 20:22 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 4?$5.00Jun 2, 20:22 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 4?$5.00Jun 2, 20:22 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 4?$5.00Jun 2, 20:22 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 4?$5.00Jun 2, 20:22 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 4?$5.00Jun 2, 20:22 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 4?$5.00Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 4?$5.00Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 4?$4.95Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 4?$4.99Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 4?$3.31Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 4?$4.47Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 4?$4.28Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or higher on June 4?$4.99Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 4?$3.36Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 4?$4.97Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?$70.00Jun 2, 15:37 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Seoul on June 2?$10.00Jun 1, 16:52 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Seoul on June 2?$10.00Jun 1, 16:51 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Seoul on June 2?$10.00Jun 1, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 23:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 20:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".