Modern-Intention
0xb92ae6dd2c5d40634b32cd816a5b22da382802a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$29.85
Total PnL
$-466.58
Realised
$-29.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
250 shares @ 22.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.50
$-40.50
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
123 shares @ 40.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.94
$-37.06
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
179 shares @ 28.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.41
$-47.59
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 11?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on January 9?
800 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
673 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-149.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 10?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 11?
512 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 9?
481 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 11?
405 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$50.00Mar 1, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$50.00Mar 1, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$55.00Mar 1, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$85.71Mar 1, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$432.64Mar 1, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 11?$23.26Jan 23, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 10?$149.62Jan 23, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$30.36Jan 10, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$125.00Jan 10, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$50.00Jan 10, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$50.00Jan 10, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$20.00Jan 10, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 11?$10.00Jan 10, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 11?$15.00Jan 10, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 11?$5.00Jan 10, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 11?$5.00Jan 10, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 11?$5.00Jan 10, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 10?$32.30Jan 10, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 10?$0.23Jan 10, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 11?$3.33Jan 10, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $44.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 17:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".