Grown-Windchime
0xb931734f8b85e0016f22beaf0e9a24e8565b7d01
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.74
Total PnL
$-12.30
Realised
$-4.72
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.17
$0.09
- NO
Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Powell say "Princeton" 5+ times during Princeton Commencement on May 25?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?
3 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.09
- YES
UFC Fight Night: Will Zhang win by KO/TKO/DQ?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1325.00 on December 31 2025?$1.15Mar 7, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMMark Kelly charged by December 31?$1.27Mar 7, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tramell Tillman win Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?$1.33Mar 7, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPerena FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 31, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tramell Tillman win Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?$1.00Dec 17, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tramell Tillman win Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?$0.76Dec 17, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tramell Tillman win Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?$1.00Dec 17, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMark Kelly charged by December 31?$1.00Nov 25, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMark Kelly charged by December 31?$0.82Nov 25, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMark Kelly charged by December 31?$1.00Nov 25, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Nov 13, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.76Nov 13, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Nov 13, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1325.00 on December 31 2025?$1.00Oct 24, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1325.00 on December 31 2025?$0.82Oct 24, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1325.00 on December 31 2025?$1.00Oct 24, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?$3.00Sep 17, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?$0.42Sep 17, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?$3.00Sep 17, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Will Zhang win by KO/TKO/DQ?$1.00Aug 19, 10:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $74.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 11:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 09:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".