Flimsy-Refrigerator
0xb932a252e47fe49c09dcba7aa857fdd229015ab6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$692.05
Total PnL
$66.85
Realised
$49.76
Win rate
63%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
60 shares @ 61.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$60.00
$23.05
- NO
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?
58 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$58.00
$0.58
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
47 shares @ 82.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$47.00
$8.14
- UP
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
45 shares @ 6.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$45.00
$42.30
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the first round?
39 shares @ 43.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$39.00
$22.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
39 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$39.00
$14.82
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
37 shares @ 77.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$37.00
$8.47
- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
32 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$32.00
$16.32
- YES
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
27 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$27.00
$11.34
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?
27 shares @ 36.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$27.00
$17.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?$28.71Jan 29, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?$28.71Jan 29, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.36Jan 16, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$10.50Jan 16, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.54Jan 16, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.66Jan 16, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.72Jan 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$1.49Jan 16, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$2.68Jan 16, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$1.13Jan 16, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?$0.40Jan 16, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$26.88Jan 16, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$10.08Jan 16, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$1.41Jan 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$2.67Jan 16, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?$2.15Jan 16, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$7.40Jan 15, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?$3.75Jan 15, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?$4.25Jan 15, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.78Jan 15, 23:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 21:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 10:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".