Colorless-Trapezoid
0xb93395fbc77c582265e3121c6f526495aec53a1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-144.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
354 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
NATO downs another Russian drone by November 30?
264 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?
89 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
46 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
11 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$18.33May 3, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$14.46Apr 12, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$20.00Apr 12, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)$25.32Apr 12, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)$15.95Mar 6, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?$15.94Mar 6, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?$10.98Feb 28, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?$50.00Feb 28, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLOdds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?$20.18Feb 28, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?$10.00Feb 28, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$46.00Feb 28, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$81.30Feb 28, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$50.00Feb 19, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$59.03Feb 4, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$50.00Jan 31, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$56.04Jan 30, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$53.00Jan 29, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-28?$53.43Jan 29, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-28?$50.60Jan 28, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stage$50.60Jan 28, 09:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $23.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".