Failing-Acre
0xb936734fa717be95420968e07b35d181fa4aeb1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-148.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
1040 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.56
- YES
Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Venezuela" 3 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?
500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
David Cameron next Conservative party leader?
360 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Jeremy Hunt next Conservative party leader?
345 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.78
- YES
Tom Tugendhat next Conservative party leader?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel military response against Iran in October?
154 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-49.38
- NO
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
James Cleverly next Conservative party leader?
80 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2-2.4 on Oct 25?
60 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2024$0.00
$-11.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Biden finish his term?$45.00Nov 18, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$219.56Nov 6, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump wins every swing state?$7.60Nov 4, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?$3.25Nov 4, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elon" 5 or more times during Michigan rally on October 25?$24.90Oct 25, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?$5.40Oct 25, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154$4.80Oct 25, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$3.00Oct 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump lead in RCP on Oct 25?$65.00Oct 25, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154$6.58Oct 24, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?$3.30Oct 23, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military response against Iran in October?$49.38Oct 18, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael military response against Iran by Friday?$4.90Oct 18, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael military response against Iran by Friday?$24.50Oct 18, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 200-224 October 11-18?$19.98Oct 18, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeremy Hunt next Conservative party leader?$0.78Oct 17, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Cleverly next Conservative party leader?$0.13Oct 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRobert Jenrick next Conservative party leader?$15.68Oct 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDavid Cameron next Conservative party leader?$1.08Oct 17, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Cleverly next Conservative party leader?$0.11Oct 17, 12:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $17.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 07:39 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 09:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".