Firsthand-Willow
0xb93757d12fd84155594338c23818a74dd45f05a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$129.03
Total PnL
$2.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on May 28?$14.98May 26, 18:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Apr 3, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$851.40Apr 2, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$852.26Apr 2, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$498.00Apr 1, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 23?$131.26Mar 22, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 23?$131.00Mar 21, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$497.00Mar 19, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -10°C on March 17?$136.14Mar 17, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -10°C on March 17?$136.00Mar 16, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 16?$129.29Mar 16, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 16?$129.00Mar 15, 16:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 15, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$636.22Mar 14, 07:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Mar 14, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$636.23Mar 13, 10:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 13, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$112.00Mar 12, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$42.16Mar 12, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$477.04Mar 12, 10:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $363.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 08:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 18:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".