Creamy-Ligand
0xb940166a85f0bd5f5820f7f5bd90b45140a7ef00
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$51.19
Total PnL
$0.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.54
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 3?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$8.79
$0.01
- NO
Will Mistral have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.61
$0.01
- NO
Will "BROWN - Chris Brown" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 13?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$3.64
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 2?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.57
$0.00
- NO
Will V2Box Pro - V2Ray Client be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.69
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 2?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.55
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 3?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$2.18
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 2?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.75
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 3?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.52
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$63.00Jul 13, 07:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $10.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.