Second-Disability
0xb941beb8c232868d45df57c492def492ecf5e688
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$5.34
Total PnL
$-561.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Anduril IPO before 2027?
46 shares @ 32.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.34
$-9.66
- YES
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Nico Hülkenberg finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
2888 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 23, 5AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC by August 31?
241 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
199 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich finish first in UCL league phase?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
114 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnduril IPO before 2027?$15.00Jan 28, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?$12.00Jan 28, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?$16.54Jan 24, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?$6.66Jan 24, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich finish first in UCL league phase?$2.00Jan 23, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 23, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$1.00Jan 22, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 22, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 22, 19:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 22, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 21, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 21, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 21, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce holding 680k+ BTC by January 31?$25.53Jan 21, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?$3.00Jan 21, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$14.19Jan 21, 20:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 21, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 20, 01:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 19, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 18, 00:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $9.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 11:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 22:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".