Cruel-Tide
0xb943b93b4e6e99357d78746a944d10fa1acee1eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$393.00
Total PnL
$14.54
Realised
$1.46
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
290 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$290.00
$5.85
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
37 shares @ 90.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$37.00
$3.55
- YES
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
29 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$29.00
$12.18
- YES
Will Josy and Gunnar marry by the end of Love is Blind: Germany: Season 2?
14 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$14.00
$2.38
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$11.00
$5.94
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$5.00
$2.05
- YES
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?
4 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$4.00
$0.92
- NO
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
3 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.00
$0.51
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
111 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.33
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
28 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?$8.70Jan 15, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?$8.12Jan 15, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Panthers visit?$3.30Jan 15, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Panthers visit?$10.45Jan 15, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the first round by 2–4%?$1.54Jan 15, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Panthers visit?$15.50Jan 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?$3.08Jan 15, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Fake News" during Panthers visit?$4.10Jan 15, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$4.50Jan 15, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$2.34Jan 15, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fake News" during Panthers visit?$5.90Jan 15, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$5.67Jan 15, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$6.40Jan 15, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$13.94Jan 15, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$26.56Jan 15, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$8.93Jan 15, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.57Jan 15, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$9.72Jan 15, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$10.53Jan 15, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$23.24Jan 15, 13:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 02:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 20:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".