Ill-Essay
0xb94a181c271e81393a9923e0b19577a5823b5cf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$10.36
Total PnL
$-13.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
2 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$2.08
$0.08
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.02Dec 11, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.03Dec 11, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.04Dec 11, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.06Dec 11, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.04Dec 11, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$2.0KDec 3, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$1.0KDec 3, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.0KDec 3, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$425.00Dec 3, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$75.00Dec 3, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$437.00Dec 3, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$63.00Dec 3, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$500.00Dec 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$500.00Dec 3, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$250.00Dec 3, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$250.00Dec 3, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$175.00Dec 3, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$75.00Dec 3, 01:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $211.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 04:12 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.