Wallet digest

active

Activity score

54/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$1.74

Total PnL

$-13.6K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 18

NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025
$1.74
$0.04
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025
$0.00
$-2.5K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025
$0.00
$-2.5K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025
$0.00
$-2.5K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025
$0.00
$-2.5K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025
$0.00
$-2.5K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.70Oct 16, 15:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$5.0KOct 16, 15:09 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.00Oct 16, 14:15 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Oct 16, 14:15 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Oct 16, 14:15 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Oct 16, 14:15 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.5KOct 16, 13:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.5KOct 16, 13:57 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Oct 16, 13:56 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Oct 16, 13:56 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Oct 16, 13:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$5.0KOct 16, 13:56 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.5KOct 16, 12:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.5KOct 16, 12:43 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Oct 16, 12:40 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Oct 16, 12:40 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$5.0KOct 16, 12:40 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$2.5KOct 16, 10:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$2.5KOct 16, 10:48 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Oct 16, 10:46 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity36 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry94 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk89 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 27
Avg trade size: $977.84
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Oct 15, 11:04 UTC
Last active: Oct 16, 15:17 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 19:13:16 UTC·src:Polymarket Data