0xb94d0c401944472575d12d3532cba090442a4402
0xb94d0c401944472575d12d3532cba090442a4402
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
1200 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-62.40
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?
1000 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-270.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Japan" during his cabinet meeting on April 10?
790 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-229.10
- NO
Will Lyon vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
750 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-532.50
- CHENNAI
Chennai Super Kings vs. Kolkata Knight Riders
275 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-121.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?
240 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 62°F or higher on March 25?
160 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.28
- NO
Will Trump announce tariffs on Vietnam on April 2?
155 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-32.55
- YES
Will Leicester win on 2025-04-07?
145 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-18.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?
80 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 26?$40.00Apr 25, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 24?$40.00Apr 25, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 24?$20.40Apr 23, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMUEFA Europa League: Lazio vs. Bodø/Glimt (To Advance)$640.00Apr 18, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMUEFA Europa League: Tottenham vs. Eintracht Frankfurt (To Advance)$55.00Apr 18, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-12?$980.00Apr 13, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYChennai Super Kings vs. Kolkata Knight Riders$121.00Apr 11, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-12?$43.20Apr 11, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-12?$486.00Apr 11, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 12?$2.50Apr 11, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 12?$77.50Apr 11, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 12?$35.00Apr 11, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 12?$5.00Apr 11, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.4% and 4.5% on April 11?$31.85Apr 11, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.4% and 4.5% on April 11?$20.80Apr 11, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-10?$45.00Apr 11, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in March?$500.00Apr 11, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?$215.00Apr 11, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Japan" during his cabinet meeting on April 10?$2.90Apr 10, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Japan" during his cabinet meeting on April 10?$226.20Apr 10, 04:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $104.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 02:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 07:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.