Ugly-Devil
0xb94ea0d688bf1340db3b3beb4dccf0a354bfd07e
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-165.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
155 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
152 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
142 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.98
- YES
Will Virginia be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?
86 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?
80 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.68
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
78 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-26.32
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House
75 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-19.50
- YES
Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
60 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
50 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-14.50
- YES
Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?
43 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-12.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$26.32Oct 30, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$9.68Oct 25, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$19.50Oct 14, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$14.50Oct 14, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$15.00May 27, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?$12.52Apr 18, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win the Michigan Primary by between 40-50% of the vote?$34.00Mar 5, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Virginia be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?$3.00Mar 5, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 10-20% of the vote?$0.00Mar 1, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 20-30% of the vote?$63.46Mar 1, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win the Michigan Primary by between 40-50% of the vote?$2.45Feb 28, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win the Michigan Primary by between 40-50% of the vote?$9.72Feb 27, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 20-30% of the vote?$13.75Feb 25, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 10-20% of the vote?$5.00Feb 25, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00Feb 18, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 20-30% of the vote?$15.00Feb 18, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.98Feb 18, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00Feb 18, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Feb 18, 22:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $13.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 22:06 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 18:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".