Modern-Thistle
0xb94f7aef5273ee06bd685f4d60df45abc9c16470
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-888.09
Realised
$-3.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
5556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 15?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 15?
4000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
2110 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-40.30
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 11?
2037 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?
1778 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
1589 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-132.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110k November 3-9?
667 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 12?
508 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 15?
373 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$2.30Jan 19, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 11?$20.00Jan 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 11?$42.00Jan 10, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYColts vs. Seahawks$25.00Dec 14, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLColts vs. Seahawks$24.50Dec 14, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYColts vs. Seahawks$28.00Dec 14, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$50.00Nov 24, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$30.30Nov 23, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $225M committed to the Monad public sale?$16.00Nov 22, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$16.01Nov 22, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$20.00Nov 22, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $200M committed to the Monad public sale?$30.00Nov 22, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $200M committed to the Monad public sale?$20.00Nov 21, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $200M committed to the Monad public sale?$50.00Nov 21, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $200M committed to the Monad public sale?$32.00Nov 21, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$626.80Nov 21, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$86.00Nov 19, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$24.79Nov 19, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYChiefs vs. Broncos$60.00Nov 16, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBears vs. Vikings$30.00Nov 16, 16:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $37.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 09:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 12:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".