Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-337.48

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 42

DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
91 shares @ 98.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-89.51
YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 78-79°F on July 17?
30 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025
$0.00
$-15.97
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 1PM ET
18 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025
$0.00
$-18.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
15 shares @ 88.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025
$0.00
$-13.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 11AM ET
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - August 13, 5AM ET
10 shares @ 93.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025
$0.00
$-9.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
9 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025
$0.00
$-9.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$69.51Dec 22, 10:12 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$20.00Dec 22, 10:10 UTC
REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$89.51Dec 22, 09:34 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$87.72Dec 22, 09:29 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$87.72Dec 22, 09:17 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$72.48Dec 22, 09:14 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$11.18Dec 22, 09:08 UTC
REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$83.65Dec 22, 09:03 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$52.81Dec 22, 08:57 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$20.00Dec 22, 08:55 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$7.00Dec 22, 08:54 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$20.41Dec 22, 08:48 UTC
REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$59.40Dec 22, 08:48 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$57.62Dec 22, 08:43 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$20.00Dec 22, 08:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$77.62Dec 22, 08:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$76.07Dec 22, 00:20 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 21, 6PM ET$10.51Dec 22, 00:19 UTC
TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - December 21, 6PM ET$10.85Dec 22, 00:19 UTC
REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$6.32Dec 22, 00:19 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity38 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry14 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk53 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 32
Avg trade size: $36.80
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 21, 16:14 UTC
Last active: Dec 22, 10:12 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 22:24:42 UTC·src:Polymarket Data