Confused-Ephemera
0xb9533e5515fd9e6e95ae02cd8b8542f47d000ce9
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$97.22
Total PnL
$-5.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
70 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$69.51
$0.21
- NO
Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
23 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$22.65
$0.05
- NO
Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$3.51
$0.01
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.56
$-1.14
- YES
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-02-07?
8 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Andorra win on 2026-02-07?$4.13Feb 7, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$69.30Dec 9, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by October 31?$2.54Dec 9, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championship?$2.93Dec 9, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?$3.51Dec 9, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo visit Brazil first?$4.42Dec 9, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?$5.01Dec 9, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Team Yandex win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?$5.05Dec 9, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 US Open?$5.10Dec 9, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maurice Kamto win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$6.12Dec 9, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 270 or more times July 4–11?$6.71Dec 9, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Pacers$7.21Dec 9, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.50 in August?$7.62Dec 9, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill JPP (Jamaica Progressive Party) win the most seats in the 2025 Jamaica House of Representatives election?$11.72Dec 9, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200K in July?$13.58Dec 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Pacers$5.34Nov 15, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by October 31?$2.50Oct 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$14.50Oct 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPP (Jamaica Progressive Party) win the most seats in the 2025 Jamaica House of Representatives election?$11.70Sep 2, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maurice Kamto win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$6.10Sep 2, 12:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $8.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 19:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.