Thrifty-Ephyra
0xb95a62e7698b062c8a5b42588ee2a53925ea0261
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-158.12
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 28°F or higher on January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 17?
893 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 14?
715 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.44
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 17?
590 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 17°F or below on January 31?
508 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on January 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 14?
455 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 18?
418 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.32
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 15?
400 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 18?$100.00Mar 21, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 23?$15.36Mar 18, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 23?$0.05Mar 18, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 23?$0.59Mar 17, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 19?$22.42Mar 16, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 19?$1.58Mar 16, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 19?$19.00Mar 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 19?$11.00Mar 13, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 19?$10.00Mar 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 18?$3.68Mar 13, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 18?$5.82Mar 13, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 18?$9.50Mar 13, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 19?$19.00Mar 13, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 18?$17.00Mar 13, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 18?$0.35Mar 13, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 18?$21.00Mar 13, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 18?$7.35Mar 13, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 18?$7.30Mar 13, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 12?$100.00Mar 12, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 18?$18.00Mar 12, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $38.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 23:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".