Klutzy-Hierarchy
0xb95bb24169aac045f3ec7b1156f8ea319fb550d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$14.17
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$210.12
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
14 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$14.17
$4.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10PM ET
3072 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-200.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9PM ET
2069 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-585.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9PM ET
1643 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 8PM ET
1163 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-184.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
917 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
788 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-89.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2AM ET
707 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-189.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
700 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-13.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1AM ET
643 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-141.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$9.35Mar 16, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$22.00Mar 7, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$25.09Mar 7, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.97Mar 7, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.82Mar 7, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.02Mar 7, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$3.14Mar 7, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.06Mar 7, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.36Mar 7, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.10Mar 7, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.07Mar 7, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.34Mar 7, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.13Mar 7, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$5.99Mar 7, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$9.00Mar 7, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$3.00Mar 7, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$22.48Mar 7, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$0.90Mar 7, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$4.00Mar 6, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$16.49Mar 6, 17:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 01:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 04:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.