Elementary-Collector
0xb9683c9f24386de2191e87db8e63e9f514569005
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$31.50
Total PnL
$-6.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
20 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$20.00
$0.18
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
7 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$6.31
$0.31
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.20
$0.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 7?
11 shares @ 63.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 24, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$19.82Jan 20, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$19.52Jan 16, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$21.89Jan 15, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$9.20Jan 15, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.07Jan 15, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.60Jan 15, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.30Jan 15, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.03Jan 15, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 15, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by March 31?$2.76Jan 11, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLOdds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?$7.41Jan 10, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by March 31?$4.84Jan 10, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$2.75Jan 9, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?$24.88Jan 9, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?$20.00Jan 9, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$5.00Jan 9, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?$20.00Jan 9, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 7?$2.00Jan 7, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 07:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 08:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.