Fixed-Base
0xb96bcb3c4b0f4ceefa9ac1ce092ba30d425961af
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$11.18
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 2?
950 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-142.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 40-41°F on January 27?
800 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-181.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on January 30?
415 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 25?
400 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
393 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-49.83
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 1?
360 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
319 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
311 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-34.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
304 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-39.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$49.00Mar 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$49.24Mar 13, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$30.00Mar 13, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$18.99Feb 23, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.00Feb 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$35.00Feb 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$15.35Feb 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$25.00Feb 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$10.00Feb 18, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$10.00Feb 18, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$15.00Feb 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$10.00Feb 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$12.19Feb 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$64.70Feb 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$50.00Feb 18, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 05:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $17.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 02:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 05:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".