Neat-Complaint
0xb99098e4ad04419a80a84838ea0c8d53abbad753
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-526.14
Realised
$-193.33
Win rate
0%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.70 January 19-25?
216 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?
206 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 20?
205 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 28?
195 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 26?
189 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-51.11
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 4?
168 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 11?
151 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 19?
141 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.83
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 25?
114 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?
103 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 30?$2.01Jul 29, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 7?$61.62Jul 7, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 7?$0.19Jul 7, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 7?$60.14Jul 7, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 4?$2.33Jul 3, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?$2.87May 28, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 28?$66.88May 28, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 28?$0.21May 28, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 28?$65.47May 28, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$74.47May 19, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$70.67May 18, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 19?$1.96May 18, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$71.67May 12, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$69.09May 11, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?$3.09May 11, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 20?$62.16May 1, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 20?$60.17Apr 19, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 16?$2.14Apr 16, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 6 2026?$1.06Apr 10, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 6?$2.65Apr 6, 05:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $23.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 11:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 21:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.