Unknown-Vertigo
0xb9c2bff41f271d257523591687bba74296ba8c68
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
122
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$22.81
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
417 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-99.18
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
314 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
234 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-62.52
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
200 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-49.57
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$13.39Mar 31, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$20.00Mar 31, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$30.00Mar 31, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$30.00Mar 31, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$30.00Mar 31, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$5.00Mar 31, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$59.56Mar 31, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$30.00Mar 31, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$5.82Mar 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.90Mar 21, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$3.26Mar 21, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$3.26Mar 21, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.00Mar 21, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 21, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$19.09Mar 21, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$19.28Mar 21, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$7.33Mar 21, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$7.34Mar 21, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.63Mar 21, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.65Mar 21, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $41.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 18:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 02:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.